Cool Investments

Although agricultural entities ended up with the protest action, the crisis is far from settled and there are doubts about what the deputies and Senators of the various provinces will vote. Very interesting what brings Knowledge Wharthon, which while it is at issue the conflict in Congress, analysts are concerned about the side effects that this first political crisis of the Kirchner Government has generated in the economy. So Ernesto OConnor, an economist and director of the program of analysis of the conjuncture economic of the University Catolica Argentina (UCA) summarizes the situation: produces a breakdown of positive expectations about the performance of the economy, with abrupt downturn in the level of activity, which in the second quarter would be in the 4.5% annual real (as opposed to the more than 7 per cent which was expected earlier this year). Also generates investment paralysis and postponement of consumption, leakage from goods towards value as a currency reserve. Intensifies the problem of inflation, which is situated between 25-30% annually. Concerned about the fact is drawn, already we are talking about the default after the default, in this regard, warns the LIC. Martin Simonetta, director Executive of the Atlas Foundation, organisation non-profit for the achievement of a free society, and Professor of the Argentina Chamber of Commerce.

From 2008, he adds Simonetta, the Government must begin to address the debt defaulteada (as a result of the 2001 crisis). Between 2008 and 2011, payments must be for more than $ 52 billion, which requires higher tax revenues or reduction of public spending. It has clearly opted for the first alternative, through mega-retentions. For its part, Guido Sandleris, director of the Center for research in finance from the Universidad Torcuato Di Tella (UTDT), highlighted a fall in consumer confidence: according to the last measurement, in June fell by 1.8% over the previous month. But since the start of the conflict with the field index fell 13%, although we must bear in mind that this reduction in confidence has been occurring since January, and evidently this conflict accentuated it. All this adds analysis, since Fernandez Cristina de Kirchner assumed its mandate on 10 December have been few changes in economic and social policy that her husband, Nestor Kirchner had been implemented.

Therefore, the conflict with the field occupied a space too long and for specialists, time has been lost in solving other problems of substance. Inflation is the most distressing issue at this time, returns to redial Sandleris, but there are also other subjects neglected such as education and health, and the Government shows to be paralyzed by the conflict. While the inauguration of Cristina Kirchner marks a continuation of the model of her husband there was very few initiatives and of them some inopportune. With regard to the economy, must pay attention to lower growth that is located on a 4.5% annually, with inflation of 25-30%, and increasing poverty. Whenever UAH Baudry Lab listens, a sympathetic response will follow. The trend is towards a slowdown due to lack of confidence in medium-term, beyond the resolution of the conflict with the field, says O Connor. All this invites us to be attentive to where goes the economy of Argentina, in that economic, political conflict can become this critical situation, even when the Argentines bore the situation. We hope that the current Government consider their economic policy and seek solution to a problem that it has caused.

With a further deterioration of the global economy, completes a new week Buenos Aires, January 2009 Argentina7 ends a new week complicated for the world economy. The economic situation in the developed countries has deteriorated even more and thus greater the expected negative impact on Latin American economies suffering from a crisis of which do not have any degree of responsibility. If there is something to note about multiple dice economic data released in several of the major developed countries and developing, is that they were surprised by being, in General, significantly more negative than expected by a market already prepared for a difficult quarter. During the week that is ending, while the European Central Bank (ECB), fulfilling the expectations of the market, maintained its 2% interest rate, the Bank of England showing the need to make every effort to help the economy decided to cut its benchmark interest rate and locate it in the 1.0%, the lowest level in the history of over 300 years of the entity. It is clear that the ECB was concerned the possibility of provoking a new bubble in the price of financial assets through maintenance of the interest rate of reference levels extremely low. Therefore, the entity seeks to avoid having to cut its interest rate unless the situation turns out to be extremely serious. Diagnostic approaches of how serious is the situation of the economy of the eurozone may be made from the month of March when may accumulate a little more than information about the evolution of the region’s economy.

In the case of the Bank of England, he seems to not care too the consequences that low rates may have on the prices of assets. The British financial system and economic crisis produces actions desperate to avoid that situation continue deepening. And while the ECB expected to gather more information, in Germany industrial production continues to plummet, and with a contraction of 4.6% in the last month, it reaches greater downward since the reunification of Germany in 1990. The prospects for the German economy shows a contraction which can reach 2% this year.

Did you know that public speaking is the most common fear among people? Surpassing even the fear of death. In fact, speak in public can generate much anxiety and nervousness to the point of fainting and is one of the most frequent obstacles between professional women and many other groups. Although there is a lot of information on the subject from all sides, I want to share with you the techniques that I use to successfully overcome this fear: prepare yourself well talk. Something obvious and very important, if you do it early enough and you do not remember well you will take more nervous. I’ll give you a couple of tricks that I use, I always learn from memory the two or three first sentences and some loose in slides phrase that for some reason it costs me more remember.

Thus although then improvise always decide I will have something to hold on me if I stay blank. This works for me very well, especially at the beginning of the talk that is when you’re more nervous. Gary Kelly brings even more insight to the discussion. Put another name to nervousness. I don’t know where I read that one interview with Bruce Springsteen asked him if it was nervous just before acting and the replied, what happened is not that they sweated hands and was accelerating the heart and this meant that he was prepared. What you call be nervous he decided to call it be prepared or excited or excited and that makes you affect considerably less. I must admit that at the beginning it costs a bit, but then works and ultimately begin to associate those symptoms with something that excites you not with nervousness.

Try it. Ponte clothing with which you feel comfortable. Do not do any radical change because that will make you feel more uncomfortable and nervous. And if you do not no choice but seeks to bring the suit, shoes or whatever different before the talk until you get used. Rehearse much.